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Fayemi Aide, Karounwi Oladapo Turns Political Prophet!

Fayemi Aide, Karounwi Oladapo Turns Political Prophet!

RT. Hon. Karounwi Oladapo was a member of the 1st assembly in Ekiti State House of Assembly, and indeed the Deputy Speaker. He's presently the publicity secretary of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in the Southwest zone and also the special Envoy on Regional Matters to Gov Kayode Fayemi. 

 Karounwi Oladapo is a town planner, he's a brilliant politician who suddenly turns to be prophetic in his postulations.

It could be recall that; On February 1st, 2020. This political philosopher predicted what could be the outcome of the congresses of People's Democratic Party (PDP) to be held in the months of March and April. The postulation which was like a prophecy read thus:

"Ekiti PDP Congresses; If only the actors can prove me wrong. 

The February/March Ekiti PDP Congresses will produce two set of parallel structures. A structure will be loyal to the former Governor of Ekiti State and the other structure will be loyal to an incumbent Senator.

While one camp is working towards elections of Party executives at Congresses the other camp is working towards affirmation of their lists of Party executives at Congresses. 

The State Congress will be conducted at two different locations in the State. Each of the two Congresses will produce its own State Chairman.

Two State Party Secretariats will emerge after the Congresses. One Secretariat will be funded by Atiku/Saraki while the other will be funded by Tambuwal/Wike ahead of 2022 PDP Presidential Primaries.

The structure that emerges from the Senator's camp is most likely to be recognized by the National Working/Executive Committee of the PDP due to the Power of incumbency! 

The other camp will approach the court for validity and recognition.

Attempts will be made to harmonize the two Party structures but the extraneous influence of the PDP Presidential hopefuls about who controls Ekiti PDP delegates votes ahead of Presidential Primaries, coupled with the politics of who becomes Ekiti PDP 2022 Governorship candidate, will surely make the reconciliation almost impossible". 

While Ekiti State People’s Democratic Party, PDP, are still legally battling to prove him wrong, Oladapo Karounwi who is popularly known as Kasto-Cicero had come again to predict another woe on the opposition party, PDP.

Where do we go from here that the South West PDP has broken into factions


APC South West Zonal Publicity Secretary.

November 15, 2020.

Take a look at the existing factional Scenarios

1. PDP South West Zonal leadership.

Faction A 
Governor Seyi Makinde

Faction B.
Former Governor Ayodele Fayose.

2. Reconciliation Committee.

Faction A.
Former Governor Olagunsoye Oyinlola

Faction B.
Chief Femi Babalola Jogoh.

3. Zoning of Zonal Executive.
Completely different.
Zonal Publicity Secretary as a sample.

Faction A.
Publicity Secretary zoned to Ekiti State.

Faction B. 
Publicity Secretary zoned to Ondo State.

4. Operational base.( Zonal headquarters)

Faction A.
Ibadan

Faction B.
Lagos.

5. Sponsors ( Godfathers)

Faction A.
Atiku Abubakar.

Faction B.
Aminu Tambuwal/ Nyeson Wike.

6. Factional State Chairmen.
Ekiti State as a sample.

Faction A.
Hon. Kehinde Odebunmi.

Faction B.
Hon. Bisi Kolawole.

(Note that this situation applies mutatis mutandis to the Local Governments and Wards as you have multiple party Chairmen at those levels)

The Projected scenarios.

Except Governor Seyi Makinde and Chief Ayodele Fayose can prove me wrong, which I doubt, these are Karounwi's postulations :

1. The impending PDP Zonal Congress will be held at two different Locations.

2. Two Zonal Chairmen and Zonal Executive will emerge.

3. Two PDP Zonal headquarters will be opened.

4. One of the factions will approach the Court for legitimacy and endorsement while the other faction will secure the endorsement of the PDP National Headquarters.

5. The PDP National Headquarters will make attempts to reconcile the factions but the resolution will be extremely difficult because of the entrenched and divergent interests of their sponsors and Presidential hopefuls ; each of the Presidential hopefuls will fight to defend their factional Wards, Local Governments, State and Zonal Executives, who are delegates to the national convention where the Presidential Candidacy will be decided through delegates votes.

6. Note that the existing South West PDP factional crisis started from Ekiti State, arising from the Supremacy battle between Fayose and Olujimi who has the backing of Governor Seyi Makinde. By deductive reasoning therefore, this Zonal factional crisis will be carried over to the PDP National Convention of February, 2021, where the new National Chairman of the PDP will be decided ; One of the Presidential hopefuls will struggle to retain the incumbent, Uche Secondus while the other will fight to install a new National Chairman.

7. This will be a landmine and time bomb that may consume PDPnigeria ahead of 2020/2023 Presidency!

This prediction had been generating controversies in the public. 

Now, will PDP in the Southwest zone allow this to happen again?

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